Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.52% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%) , while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.