La Liga Gameweek 38
May 24, 2025 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Butarque
  • Javi Hernandez 24' goal
  • Yan Diomande 36' goal
  • Juan Cruz 40' goal
  • yellowcard Antonio Candela 13'

Leganes vs Real Valladolid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leganes

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2025 6.00pm
Las Palmas 0 - 1 Leganes
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Dani Raba

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2025 6.00pm
Valladolid 0 - 1 Alaves
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Mamadou Sylla

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Leganes win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.

Result

Leganes 36.37% (+0.07)
Draw 24.84% (-0.01)
Real Valladolid 38.79% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.28% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.03% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 44.97% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.67% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 67.32% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 16.56% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.44% (-0.02)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5 75.7% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 24.3% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 41.33% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 58.67% (-0.07)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5 76.98% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 23.02% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 43.17% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 56.83% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Leganes 36.37%
Draw 24.84%
Real Valladolid 38.79%
Leganes
2-1 @ 8.22% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.91% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.6% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.88% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.85% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.64% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62%
2-2 @ 6.04% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.84%
Real Valladolid
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.18% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.96%
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 38.79%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2024 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
  • Paulo Pezzolano 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Stanko Juric 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enric Franquesa 17'
  • yellowcard Yvan Neyou 46'
  • yellowcard Sergio Gonzalez 69'
  • yellowcard Jorge Saenz 82'
  • yellowcard Oscar Rodriguez 83'
Segunda Division Gameweek 25
Feb 3, 2024 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Butarque
  • Yvan Neyou 61' yellowcard
  • Miguel de la Fuente 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cesar de la Hoz 44'
  • yellowcard Sergio Escudero 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Sylla 57'
Segunda Division Gameweek 16
Nov 17, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
  • Mamadou Sylla 26' goal
  • Raul Moro 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sergio Gonzalez 31'
  • yellowcard Iker Undabarrena 45'+3'
  • goal Sergio Gonzalez 51'
  • yellowcard Jorge Miramon 55'
Segunda Division Gameweek 22
Jan 2, 2022 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Shon Weissman 44' goal
Segunda Division Gameweek 10
Oct 17, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Fede Vico 55' yellowcard
  • Gaku Shibasaki 70' yellowcard
  • Sergi Palencia 77' yellowcard
  • goal Sergio Leon 25'
  • yellowcard Toni 32'
  • goal Shon Weissman 87'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Jun 13, 2020 6.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Butarque
  • Oscar 84' goal
  • goal Enes Unal 2'
  • yellowcard Sergi Guardiola 29'
  • yellowcard Oscar Plano 40'
  • goal Ruben Alcaraz 54'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Salisu 83'
  • yellowcard Fede 89'