La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

May 24, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Leganes
3 - 0
Valladolid

Hernandez (24'), Diomande (36'), Cruz (40')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Candela (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Leganes and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leganes

All competitions

Last Game: Las Palmas 0-1 Leganes
Sunday, May 18 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 0-1 Alaves
Sunday, May 18 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Leganes win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.

Result
Leganes	Draw	Real Valladolid
36.37% ( 0.06)	24.84% ( -0.01)	38.79% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 58.28% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.03% (

0.03)

44.97% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.67% (

0.03)

67.32% (

-0.03)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.7% (

0.05)

24.3% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.33% (

0.07)

58.67% (

-0.07)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.98% (

-0.02)

23.02% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.17% (

-0.02)

56.83% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Leganes 36.37%

Real Valladolid 38.79%

Draw 24.84%

Leganes	Draw	Real Valladolid
2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 36.37%	1-1 @ 11.62% 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.84%	1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.79%