La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

May 25, 2025 at 1pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
0 - 4
Atletico

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sorloth (68', 90', 90+3'), Lenglet (87')
Simeone (45+1'), Simeone (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Girona and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-2 Girona
Sunday, May 18 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 4-1 Betis
Sunday, May 18 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Girona had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Atletico Madrid
26.96% ( 2.18)	24.37% ( 1)	48.66% ( -3.18)

Both teams to score 55.61% (

-1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.43% (

-2.59)

46.57% (

2.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.15% (

-2.47)

68.84% (

2.47)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.83% (

0.36)

31.17% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.5% (

0.42)

67.5% (

-0.42)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.79% (

-2.21)

19.21% (

2.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.1% (

-3.78)

50.89% (

3.78)

Score Analysis

Girona 26.96%

Atletico Madrid 48.66%

Draw 24.37%

Girona	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.79) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.86% Total : 26.96%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.55) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.63) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.37%	0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.51) 0-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.49) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.39) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.35) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.13% Total : 48.66%