Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.