Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Betis |
| 48.5% ( | 24.24% ( | 27.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.23% ( | 45.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.91% ( | 68.08% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% | 18.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.52% ( | 50.48% |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.48% ( | 30.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.26% ( | 66.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Betis |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 8% ( 3-1 @ 5.26% 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.23% Total : 48.5% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.87% 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.08% 1-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.02% Total : 27.26% |