Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.