Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Celta Vigo in this match.