La Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves vs Malaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 3.15pm
Celta Vigo 2 - 1 Alaves
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Lucas Boyé

Malaga

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 5.30pm
Malaga 2 - 5 Real Sociedad
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Adrián Niño Heredia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alaves win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Malaga has a probability of 33.29% and a draw has a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alaves win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Malaga win is 0-1 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.72%).

Result

Alaves 41.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 25.52%
Malaga 33.29% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.64% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 53.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 46.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 31.72% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 68.28% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 18.24% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 81.76% ▲ (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Alaves 27.97%
Draw 47.33%
Malaga 24.7%

Team To Score First

Alaves 50.3% ▼ (-0.10)
No Goal 6.37%
Malaga 43.33% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 57.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.41%
Under 8 31.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 9 45.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.57%
Under 9 42.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 34.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 65.21% ▼ (-0.04)

Alaves Goals

Over 1.5 42.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 18.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 81.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.35% ▲ (+0.04)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 68.6%
Under 0.5 31.4%
Over 1.5 35.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.92% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 86.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.3% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Alaves 41.17%
Draw 25.52%
Malaga 33.3%
Alaves
1-0 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 3.06%
Other @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 41.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.37%
2-2 @ 5.95%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
Malaga
0-1 @ 7.96%
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-2 @ 4.95%
1-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 33.3%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 41
May 20, 2023 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Asier Villalibre 46' goal
  • Toni Moya 87' goal
  • goal Luis Munoz 77'
Segunda Division Gameweek 21
Dec 18, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Pablo Chavarria 51' goal
La Liga
May 6, 2018 11.00am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)
  • Diego Gonzalez 61' yellowcard
  • Roberto Rosales 79' yellowcard
  • goal Manu Garcia 3'
  • yellowcard Adrian Dieguez 34'
  • goal Ermedin Demirovic 68'
  • goal Ibai Gomez 70'
La Liga
Dec 21, 2017 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
  • Manu Garcia 20' yellowcard
  • Ruben Duarte 28' yellowcard
  • Burgui 57' yellowcard
  • Munir El Haddadi 60' goal
  • yellowcard Luis Hernandez 28'
  • yellowcard Javier Ontiveros 28'
  • yellowcard Ignasi Miquel 56'
  • yellowcard Recio 70'
La Liga
Mar 11, 2017 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ignacio Camacho 65' yellowcard
  • Juan Carlos 71' goal
  • Martin Demichelis 76' yellowcard
  • goal Zouhair Feddal 39'
  • yellowcard Zouhair Fedda 56'
  • redcard Zouhair Fedda 72'
  • yellowcard Deyverson 83'
  • goal Edgar Mendez 91'
La Liga
Oct 16, 2016 11.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Deyverson 9' goal
  • Manu Garcia 66' yellowcard
  • Gaizka Toquero Pinedo 76' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 90' redcard
  • Victor Camarasa 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roberto Rosales 58'
  • yellowcard Youssef En-Nesyri 68'
  • yellowcard Juanpi 70'
  • goal Roberto Rosales 85'
  • redcard Juanpi 94'