UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Playoffs B/C | 1st Leg

Mar 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri

Kosovo
2 - 1
Iceland

(Kosovo win 5-2 on aggregate)

Dellova (19'), Rexhbecaj (58')
Berisha (38'), Muriqi (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Oskarsson (22')
Gunnarsson (44'), Tomasson (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Kosovo and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kosovo

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Kosovo 1-0 Lithuania
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	0	0	0
2	Cyprus	0	0	0
3	Lithuania	0	0	0
4	Kosovo	0	0	0

Iceland

All competitions

Last Game: Wales 4-1 Iceland
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wales	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Iceland	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 16.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.

Result
Kosovo	Draw	Iceland
60.53% ( -0.88)	22.55% ( 0.29)	16.92% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 47.65% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.66% (

-0.2)

50.34% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.72% (

-0.17)

72.28% (

0.17)

Kosovo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.79% (

-0.36)

16.21% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.29% (

-0.66)

45.71% (

0.67)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.87% (

0.64)

43.13% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.6% (

0.54)

79.4% (

-0.53)

Score Analysis

Kosovo 60.53%

Iceland 16.92%

Draw 22.54%

Kosovo	Draw	Iceland
1-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.95% Total : 60.53%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.54%	0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.66% Total : 16.92%