Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cienciano win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Juventud had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cienciano win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Juventud win was 1-0 (10.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.