J1 League | Gameweek 18

May 24, 2025 at 9.30am UK

Minato Soccer Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 1
Urawa

Inagaki (83' pen.), Nagai (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Watanabe (51')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Urawa Red Diamonds.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 17 at 6.30am in J1 League

Goals
for

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions

Last Game: Kawasaki 2-2 Urawa
Wednesday, May 21 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 47.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 26.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 1-0 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Urawa Red Diamonds
26.23% ( -0.6)	26.62% ( -0.12)	47.15% ( 0.72)

Both teams to score 48.15% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.94% (

0.1)

56.06% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.86% (

0.08)

77.14% (

-0.08)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.17% (

-0.45)

36.83% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.38% (

-0.45)

73.62% (

0.45)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.22% (

0.38)

23.78% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.06% (

0.55)

57.94% (

-0.55)

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 26.23%

Urawa Red Diamonds 47.15%

Draw 26.61%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Urawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.8% Total : 26.23%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 47.15%