Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 47.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 26.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 1-0 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.