J1 League Gameweek 17
May 17, 2025 6.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)
  • Daiki Matsuoka 64' yellowcard
  • Daiki Matsuoka 64' yellowcard
  • Takeshi Kanamori 90'+5' goal
  • Takeshi Kanamori 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Keiya Shiihashi 50'
  • yellowcard Keiya Shiihashi 50'
  • yellowcard Mateus 60'
  • yellowcard Mateus 60'
  • goal Shuhei Tokumoto 81'
  • goal Shuhei Tokumoto 81'

Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2025 6.00am
Yokohama FC 1 - 0 Avispa Fukuoka
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Tomoya Miki

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2025 6.00am
Kyoto Sanga 1 - 1 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Sho Inagaki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.38%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (12.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result

Avispa Fukuoka 34.18% (-0.31)
Draw 29.51% (+0.09)
Nagoya Grampus 36.3% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.41% (-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.42% (-0.32)
Under 2.5 63.57% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 17.12% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 82.88% (+0.23)
Over 4.5 6.73% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 93.26% (+0.13)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5 65.18% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 34.82% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 28.44% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 71.56% (+0.41)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 66.6% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 33.4% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 29.97% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 70.03% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 34.18%
Draw 29.51%
Nagoya Grampus 36.29%
Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 12.27% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.1% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 6.47% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.5% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 34.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.45% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.63% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.51%
Nagoya Grampus
0-1 @ 12.75% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 7.38% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.99% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.56% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 36.29%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 33
Oct 4, 2024 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)
  • Itsuki Oda 88' goal
  • yellowcard Ryuji Izumi 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Kennedyegbus Mikuni 90'+2'
J1 League Gameweek 7
Apr 7, 2024 7.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
  • Akinari Kawazura 26' yellowcard
  • Akinari Kawazura 26' yellowcard
  • Keiya Shiihashi 45' yellowcard
  • Keiya Shiihashi 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Masaya Tashiro 43'
  • yellowcard Masaya Tashiro 43'
  • yellowcard Hiroyuki Mae 79'
  • yellowcard Hiroyuki Mae 79'
  • yellowcard Daiki Miya 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Daiki Miya 90'+2'
J1 League Gameweek 27
Sep 16, 2023 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Level-5 stadium
  • Wellington 84' goal
  • Tatsuki Nara 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryuji Izumi 26'
J1 League Gameweek 17
Jun 11, 2023 8.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Minato Soccer Stadium
  • Mateus 45' goal
  • Kasper Junker 69' goal
  • goal Ryoga Sato 65'
J1 League Gameweek 28
Sep 3, 2022 11.00am
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Jordy Croux 21' goal
  • Yuto Hiratsuka 57' goal
  • Daiki Miya 67' redcard
  • Tatsuki Nara 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Ryoya Morishita 2'
  • goal Kensuke Nagai 24'
  • goal Kensuke Nagai 38'
J1 League Gameweek 15
May 25, 2022 11.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Shinnosuke Nakatani 15' goal
  • Tiago 43' redcard
  • yellowcard Lukian 25'
  • yellowcard Hiroyuki Mae 28'
  • yellowcard Takahiro Yanagi 67'