Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.38%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (12.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.