J1 League | Gameweek 17

May 17, 2025 at 6.30am UK

Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Avispa Fukuoka
1 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Kanamori (90+5', 90+5')
Matsuoka (64'), Matsuoka (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tokumoto (81', 81')
Shiihashi (50'), Shiihashi (50'), Mateus (60'), Mateus (60')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions

Last Game: Yokohama FC 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, May 10 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, May 11 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.38%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (12.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
34.18% ( -0.31)	29.51% ( 0.09)	36.3% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 43.41% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.42% (

-0.31)

63.57% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.12% (

-0.22)

82.88% (

0.23)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.18% (

-0.38)

34.82% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.44% (

-0.4)

71.56% (

0.4)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.6% (

-0.02)

33.4% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.97% (

-0.02)

70.03% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 34.18%

Nagoya Grampus 36.29%

Draw 29.51%

Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.2% Total : 34.18%	1-1 @ 13.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.51%	0-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.29%