Nov 1, 2026 7.00am

Machida Athletic Stadium

Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Machida Zelvia

All competitions

D
W
W
W
L
D

J1 League

D
W
W
W
L
D

Last game

Oct 24, 2026 7.00am

Vissel Kobe 0 - 0 Machida Zelvia

Goals scored

30

Top scorer

Takuma Nishimura

Gamba Osaka

All competitions

D
W
D
W
L
L

J1 League

D
W
D
L
L
L

Last game

Oct 24, 2026 8.00am

Gamba Osaka 2 - 2 Kyoto Sanga

Goals scored

14

Top scorer

Issam Jebali

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Gamba Osaka has a probability of 29.36% and a draw has a probability of 24.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win is 2-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win is 1-2 (7.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.23%).

Result

Machida Zelvia 46.43% ▲ (+0.40)

Draw 24.21% ▼ (-0.10)

Gamba Osaka 29.36% ▼ (-0.31)

Both Teams to Score:

57.95% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.68% ▲ (+0.15)

Under 1.5 21.32% ▼ (-0.15)

Over 2.5 56.49% ▲ (+0.25)

Under 2.5 43.51% ▼ (-0.25)

Over 3.5 32.9% ▲ (+0.13)

Under 3.5 67.1% ▼ (-0.14)

Over 4.5 19.01% ▲ (+0.13)

Under 4.5 80.99% ▼ (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Machida Zelvia 31.5% ▲ (+0.18)

Draw 43.88% ▼ (-0.22)

Gamba Osaka 24.62% ▲ (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Machida Zelvia 57.1% ▲ (+0.21)

No Goal 5.44% ▼ (-0.06)

Gamba Osaka 37.46% ▼ (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 54.5% ▼ (-0.43)

Equal 8 11.4% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 8 34.09% ▲ (+0.38)

Over 9 43.17% ▼ (-0.43)

Equal 9 11.33% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 9 45.5% ▲ (+0.43)

Over 10.5 32.8% ▼ (-0.42)

Under 10.5 67.2% ▲ (+0.41)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 1.5 47.16% ▲ (+0.39)

Under 1.5 52.84% ▼ (-0.39)

Over 2.5 21.77% ▲ (+0.31)

Under 2.5 78.23% ▼ (-0.30)

Over 3.5 8.02% ▲ (+0.15)

Under 3.5 91.98% ▼ (-0.15)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 66.31% ▼ (-0.18)

Under 0.5 33.69% ▲ (+0.18)

Over 1.5 33.61% ▼ (-0.22)

Under 1.5 66.39% ▲ (+0.22)

Over 2.5 12.91% ▼ (-0.16)

Under 2.5 87.09% ▲ (+0.16)

Over 3.5 4.07% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 3.5 95.93% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Machida Zelvia 46.42%

Draw 24.2%

Gamba Osaka 29.36%

Machida Zelvia

2-1 @ 10% ▲ (+0.09)

1-0 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.03)

2-0 @ 6.94% ▲ (+0.03)

3-1 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.07)

3-0 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.06)

3-2 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.17)

Total : 46.42%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.23% ▼ (-0.03)

2-2 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.06)

3-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.22% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 24.2%

Gamba Osaka

1-2 @ 7.4% ▼ (-0.02)

0-1 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.09)

0-2 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.08)

1-3 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.07)

2-3 @ 2.49%

0-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.05)

Total : 29.36%

Head to Head

Jan 15, 2026 2.00am

3

2

HT : 0 0

FT Panasonic Stadium Suita

Aug 20, 2025 11.00am

3

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Apr 2, 2025 11.00am

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Suita City Football Stadium

Yuki Soma 43'
Kotaro Hayashi 79'

Jun 30, 2024 10.00am

1

3

HT : 1 1

FT Nishigaoka National Stadium

Welton Felipe 9'
Riku Handa 31'
Riku Handa 33'

Shunta Araki 43'
Mitchell Duke 45'+2'
Hokuto Shimoda 52'
Shota Fujio 61'
Keiya Sento 69'
Junyo Suzuki 90'+7'

Feb 24, 2024 6.00am

1

1

HT : 2 0

FT Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)

Keiya Sento 10'
Keiya Sento 10'
Junyo Suzuki 17'
Junyo Suzuki 17'
Keiya Sento 60'
Keiya Sento 60'
90'+2'
Kosei Tani 90'+2'
Kosei Tani 90'+2'

Takashi Usami 84'
Takashi Usami 84'

Form Data

Vissel Kobe 0 - 0 Machida Zelvia

Shimizu S-Pulse 0 - 5 Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia 3 - 0 Avispa Fukuoka

Kyoto Sanga 0 - 1 Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia 2 - 4 Reysol

Machida Zelvia 1 - 1 Yokohama

Gamba Osaka 2 - 2 Kyoto Sanga

Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 2 Gamba Osaka

Shimizu S-Pulse 2 - 2 Gamba Osaka

Newcastle Jets 1 - 3 Gamba Osaka

Kashima Antlers 2 - 0 Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka 0 - 1 Vissel Kobe