J1 League Gameweek 12
Oct 24, 2026 7.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT NOEVIR Stadium Kobe
  • Diego 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Takuma Nishimura 16'
  • yellowcard Hiroyuki Mae 71'

Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vissel Kobe

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2026 11.00am
Kawasaki 2 - 1 Vissel Kobe
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Yuya Osako

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2026 11.00am
Shimizu S-Pulse 0 - 5 Machida Zelvia
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Takuma Nishimura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 36.1%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (10.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result

Vissel Kobe 36.1% ▼ (-0.54)
Draw 28.54% ▼ (-1.09)
Machida Zelvia 35.33% ▲ (+1.62)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.84% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.35% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 32.65% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 40.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 59.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 21.17% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 3.5 78.83% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 4.5 10.58% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 4.5 89.42% ▼ (-0.40)

First Half Winner

Vissel Kobe 22.16% ▼ (-0.81)
Draw 45.13% ▼ (-3.48)
Machida Zelvia 32.71% ▲ (+4.29)

Team To Score First

Vissel Kobe 38.66% ▼ (-1.75)
No Goal 9.95% ▲ (+0.07)
Machida Zelvia 51.39% ▲ (+1.68)

Corners

Over 8 51.07% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 8 12.28% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 8 36.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 39.2% ▲ (+0.13)
Equal 9 11.87% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 9 48.93% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 10.5 28.7% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 10.5 71.3% ▼ (-0.19)

Vissel Kobe Goals

Over 1.5 31.17% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 1.5 68.83% ▲ (+0.90)
Over 2.5 10.76% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 2.5 89.24% ▲ (+0.62)
Over 3.5 3.16% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 96.84% ▲ (+0.13)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 65.92%
Under 0.5 34.08%
Over 1.5 31.83% ▲ (+1.43)
Under 1.5 68.17% ▼ (-1.43)
Over 2.5 10.33% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 89.67% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.35% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 3.5 96.65% ▼ (-0.27)

Score analysis

Vissel Kobe 36.11%
Draw 28.53%
Machida Zelvia 35.35%
Vissel Kobe
1-0 @ 11.86% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.59)
2-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.32)
3-1 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.46)
3-2 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 36.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.21% ▼ (-0.79)
0-0 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 28.53%
Machida Zelvia
0-1 @ 10.83%
1-2 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.99)
0-2 @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.31)
1-3 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.20)
0-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.34)
2-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.42)
Total : 35.35%

Head to Head

J1 League
Aug 10, 2025 11.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 11
Apr 20, 2025 6.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT NOEVIR Stadium Kobe
  • Daihachi Okamura 62' goal
  • Daihachi Okamura 62' goal
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Dresevic 37'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Dresevic 37'
  • yellowcard Sangho Na 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Sangho Na 90'+1'
J1 League Gameweek 20
Jun 26, 2024 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT NOEVIR Stadium Kobe
J1 League Gameweek 8
Apr 13, 2024 7.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)
  • Junyo Suzuki 26' yellowcard
  • Junyo Suzuki 26' yellowcard
  • Kai Shibato 32' yellowcard
  • Kai Shibato 32' yellowcard
  • Keiya Sento 61' yellowcard
  • Keiya Sento 61' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Dresevic 90'+6' goal
  • Ibrahim Dresevic 90'+6' goal
  • goal Kakeru Yamauchi 45'
  • goal Kakeru Yamauchi 45'
  • goal Yoshinori Muto 89'
  • goal Yoshinori Muto 89'