J1 League Gameweek 11
Oct 21, 2026 11.00am
0
3
HT : 0 1
LIVE Iwagin Stadium
  • Yuki Honda 17' yellowcard
  • Kai Matsuzaki 31' yellowcard
  • Kai Matsuzaki 63' redcard
  • goal Neta Lavi 35'
  • goal Koki Ogawa 50'
  • goal Takuma Nishimura 62'
  • goal Takuma Nishimura 63'

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 5.00am
Shimizu S-Pulse 2 - 2 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Kai Matsuzaki

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 8.00am
Machida Zelvia 3 - 0 Avispa Fukuoka
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Takuma Nishimura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 49.87%. A draw has a probability of 27.25% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse has a probability of 22.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.77%) , while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it is 1-0 (8.45%).

Result

Shimizu S-Pulse 22.89% ▲ (+1.34)
Draw 27.25% ▲ (+0.49)
Machida Zelvia 49.87% ▼ (-1.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.33% ▼ (-0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.63% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 1.5 31.37% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 2.5 42.05% ▼ (-1.17)
Under 2.5 57.95% ▲ (+1.17)
Over 3.5 22.16% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 3.5 77.84% ▲ (+0.99)
Over 4.5 11.64% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 4.5 88.36% ▲ (+0.66)

First Half Winner

Shimizu S-Pulse 16.65% ▲ (+1.31)
Draw 45.7% ▼ (-0.10)
Machida Zelvia 37.66% ▼ (-1.22)

Team To Score First

Shimizu S-Pulse 29.3% ▲ (+0.24)
No Goal 9.27% ▲ (+0.33)
Machida Zelvia 61.43% ▼ (-0.55)

Corners

Over 8 54.4% ▲ (+0.83)
Equal 8 12.06% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 8 33.54% ▼ (-0.87)
Over 9 42.42% ▲ (+0.68)
Equal 9 11.98% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 9 45.6% ▼ (-0.83)
Over 10.5 31.54% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 10.5 68.46% ▼ (-0.50)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 1.5 21.71% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 1.5 78.29% ▼ (-0.67)
Over 2.5 6.11% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 2.5 93.89% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 1.47% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 98.53% ▼ (-0.05)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 76.12% ▼ (-1.37)
Under 0.5 23.88% ▲ (+1.37)
Over 1.5 42.73% ▼ (-1.61)
Under 1.5 57.27% ▲ (+1.61)
Over 2.5 17.34% ▼ (-1.58)
Under 2.5 82.66% ▲ (+1.57)
Over 3.5 6.23% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 3.5 93.77% ▲ (+0.58)

Score analysis

Shimizu S-Pulse 22.9%
Draw 27.24%
Machida Zelvia 49.87%
Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.55)
2-1 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.40)
3-1 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 22.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.77% ▲ (+0.22)
0-0 @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.33)
2-2 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 27.24%
Machida Zelvia
0-1 @ 13.66% ▼ (-0.25)
0-2 @ 9.97% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.64% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.47)
0-3 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.39)
2-3 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.56)
Total : 49.87%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 23
Jul 5, 2025 10.00am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 16
May 11, 2025 5.05am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Iwagin Stadium
  • Koya Kitagawa 66' goal
  • Koya Kitagawa 66' goal
  • Douglas Tanque 84' goal
  • Douglas Tanque 84' goal
  • goal Takuma Nishimura 21'
  • goal Takuma Nishimura 21'
  • goal Kotaro Hayashi 66'
  • goal Kotaro Hayashi 66'