J1 League Gameweek 10
Oct 17, 2026 5.00am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Iwagin Stadium
  • Yuki Honda 9' goal
  • Kai Matsuzaki 42' goal
  • Hidehiro Sugai 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryoya Yamashita 23'
  • yellowcard Ryo Hatsuse 24'
  • goal Ryotaro Meshino 84'
  • goal Issam Jebali 90'+5'

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 7.00am
Mito Hollyhock 1 - 2 Shimizu S-Pulse
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Kai Matsuzaki

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2026 11.00am
Kashima Antlers 2 - 0 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Issam Jebali

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 (8.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Shimizu S-Pulse 35.77% ▲ (+0.60)
Draw 26.41% ▲ (+0.06)
Gamba Osaka 37.83% ▼ (-0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.36% ▼ (-0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.13% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 24.87% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 50.49% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 49.51% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 28.81% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 3.5 71.19% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 4.5 15.75% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 4.5 84.25% ▼ (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Shimizu S-Pulse 25.41% ▲ (+0.20)
Draw 43.7% ▲ (+1.06)
Gamba Osaka 30.89% ▼ (-1.25)

Team To Score First

Shimizu S-Pulse 45.44% ▲ (+2.98)
No Goal 6.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Gamba Osaka 47.65% ▼ (-2.97)

Corners

Over 8 57.22% ▼ (-0.63)
Equal 8 11.75% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 8 31.03% ▲ (+0.77)
Over 9 45.3% ▼ (-0.43)
Equal 9 11.92% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 9 42.78% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 10.5 34.24% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 10.5 65.76% ▲ (+0.25)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 1.5 36.17% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 1.5 63.83% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 2.5 14.01% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 2.5 85.99% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 3.5 4.41% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 95.59% ▼ (-0.12)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 71.52% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 0.5 28.48% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 1.5 38.06% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 1.5 61.94% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 2.5 15.45% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 2.5 84.55% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 3.5 5.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.71% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Shimizu S-Pulse 35.76%
Draw 26.41%
Gamba Osaka 37.83%
Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.15)
2-1 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 35.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.76% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 26.41%
Gamba Osaka
0-1 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.23)
2-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 37.83%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 20
Jun 15, 2025 10.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matsuzaki Kai 76' yellowcard
  • Matheus Bueno 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shu Kurata 90'+7'
J1 League Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2025 6.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT National Olympic Stadium
  • Ryoya Yamashita 36' goal
  • Ryoya Yamashita 36' goal
  • Ryoya Yamashita 43' yellowcard
  • Ryoya Yamashita 43' yellowcard
  • Makoto Mitsuta 58' yellowcard
  • Makoto Mitsuta 58' yellowcard
  • Tokuma Suzuki 69' yellowcard
  • Tokuma Suzuki 69' yellowcard
  • Jun Ichimori 82' yellowcard
  • Jun Ichimori 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zento Uno 67'
  • yellowcard Zento Uno 67'
J1 League Gameweek 25
Aug 14, 2022 11.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Genta Miura 59' yellowcard
  • goal Benjamin Kololli 73'
  • goal Carlinhos 86'
J1 League Gameweek 8
Apr 10, 2022 5.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Se-Hun Oh 57' goal
  • goal Kosuke Onose 90'+7'
J1 League Gameweek 24
Aug 13, 2021 11.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Thiago 56' yellowcard
  • goal Hiroto Yamami 82'
J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 18, 2021 9.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Shu Kurata 66' yellowcard
  • Yosuke Ideguchi 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago 7'