J1 League Gameweek 12
Oct 24, 2026 8.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Panasonic Stadium Suita
  • Takashi Usami 31' goal
  • Jun Ichimori 53' redcard
  • Issam Jebali 65' goal
  • Issam Jebali 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyo Sato 32'
  • goal Haruki Arai 39'
  • goal Takumi Kato 90'+2'

Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2026 11.00am
Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 2 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Issam Jebali

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2026 11.00am
Kyoto Sanga 2 - 2 Kashima Antlers
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Rafael Elias

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.46% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.05%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%) , while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

Gamba Osaka 53.79% ▼ (-0.40)
Draw 23.46% ▲ (+0.09)
Kyoto Sanga 22.75% ▲ (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.16% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.89% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 22.11% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 54.91% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 2.5 45.09% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 3.5 32.14% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 67.86% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 4.5 19.28% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 80.72% ▲ (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Gamba Osaka 40.37% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 41.86% ▲ (+0.18)
Kyoto Sanga 17.78% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Gamba Osaka 62.36% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 5.92% ▲ (+0.10)
Kyoto Sanga 31.72% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 64.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 9.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 25.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 54.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 10.69%
Under 9 35.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 43.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 56.36% ▼ (-0.04)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 1.5 52.04% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 1.5 47.96% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 2.5 25.99% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 2.5 74.01% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 3.5 10.94% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 3.5 89.06% ▲ (+0.16)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5 58.91% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 41.09% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 26.32% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 73.68% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 8.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 91.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.39% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.61% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Gamba Osaka 53.8%
Draw 23.46%
Kyoto Sanga 22.74%
Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 10.18% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 10.05% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.82%
3-1 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 10.77% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 53.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.06% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 23.46%
Kyoto Sanga
0-1 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 6% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.74%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 22
Jun 28, 2025 11.00am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 13
Apr 29, 2025 7.00am
2
1
HT : 4 2
FT Suita City Football Stadium
  • Takashi Usami 10' goal
  • Takashi Usami 10' goal
  • Deniz Hummet 27' goal
  • Deniz Hummet 27' goal
  • Deniz Hummet 27' yellowcard
  • Deniz Hummet 27' yellowcard
  • Tokuma Suzuki 31' yellowcard
  • Tokuma Suzuki 31' yellowcard
  • Issam Jebali 75' yellowcard
  • Issam Jebali 75' yellowcard
  • goal Takuji Yonemoto 33'
  • goal Takuji Yonemoto 33'
J1 League Gameweek 31
Sep 22, 2024 11.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)
  • Rafael Elias 27' goal
  • Yuto Misao 54' yellowcard
  • Rafael Elias 58' goal
  • Shinnosuke Fukuda 65' yellowcard
  • Yoshinori Suzuki 87' yellowcard
  • goal Kota Yamada 20'
  • yellowcard Welton Felipe 43'
  • goal Shinnosuke Nakatani 85'
J1 League Gameweek 6
Apr 3, 2024 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nishigaoka National Stadium
  • yellowcard Kyo Sato 69'
J1 League Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nishigaoka National Stadium
  • Yuya Fukuda 72' goal
J1 League Gameweek 8
Apr 15, 2023 8.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Kyōto Nishikyogoku Stadium
  • Yuta Toyokawa 22' goal
  • Patric 82' goal
  • goal Hideki Ishige 37'