J1 League Gameweek 10
Hiroshima
Oct 17, 2026 6.00am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
  • Daiki Suga 48' goal
  • Sébastien Haller 67' yellowcard
  • Akito Suzuki 78' goal
  • Mutsuki Kato 82' goal
  • yellowcard Kyo Sato 31'

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 7.00am
Tokyo Verdy 0 - 2 Hiroshima
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Akito Suzuki

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 11.00am
Kyoto Sanga 0 - 1 Machida Zelvia
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Rafael Elias

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 66.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 14.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%) , while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 66.11% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 19.6% ▲ (+0.31)
Kyoto Sanga 14.28% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.36% ▼ (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.34% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 20.66% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 56.25% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 43.75% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 33.86% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 3.5 66.14% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 4.5 22.12% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 77.88% ▲ (+0.09)

First Half Winner

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 53.88% ▼ (-1.58)
Draw 35.02% ▲ (+1.38)
Kyoto Sanga 11.1% ▲ (+0.21)

Team To Score First

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 70.48% ▼ (-0.12)
No Goal 5.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Kyoto Sanga 24.39% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 64% ▼ (-1.32)
Equal 8 10.7% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 8 25.31% ▲ (+1.14)
Over 9 52.55% ▼ (-1.42)
Equal 9 11.45% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 9 36% ▲ (+1.33)
Over 10.5 41.3% ▼ (-1.40)
Under 10.5 58.7% ▲ (+1.40)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 1.5 61.17% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 38.83% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 34.28% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 65.72% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 16.06% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 83.94% ▼ (-0.16)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5 47.87% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 0.5 52.13% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 1.5 18.04% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 81.96% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 4.78% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 95.22% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.81% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 66.12%
Draw 19.61%
Kyoto Sanga 14.28%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2-0 @ 11.66% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 11.17% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 16.02% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 66.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 19.61%
Kyoto Sanga
0-1 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.12)
1-2 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 14.28%

Head to Head

J1 League
Hiroshima
Sep 12, 2025 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Kyoto Sanga
J1 League Gameweek 7
Kyoto Sanga
Mar 29, 2025 5.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)
Hiroshima
  • Rafael Elias 60' goal
  • Rafael Elias 60' goal
J1 League Gameweek 35
Hiroshima
Nov 3, 2024 4.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT EDION Stadium
Kyoto Sanga
  • Tolgay Arslan 72' yellowcard
  • Tolgay Arslan 72' yellowcard
  • Marcos Junior 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Marcos Junior 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sota Kawasaki 52'
  • yellowcard Sota Kawasaki 52'
  • goal Taiki Hirato 62'
  • goal Taiki Hirato 62'
  • yellowcard Rafael Elias 89'
  • yellowcard Rafael Elias 89'
J1 League Gameweek 15
Kyoto Sanga
May 19, 2024 6.00am
0
5
HT : 0 6
FT Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)
Hiroshima
  • Keita Matsuda 11' yellowcard
  • Keita Matsuda 11' yellowcard
  • Kyo Sato 41' yellowcard
  • Kyo Sato 41' yellowcard
  • Taichi Hara 66' yellowcard
  • Taichi Hara 66' yellowcard
  • goal Takumu Kawamura 9'
  • goal Takumu Kawamura 9'
  • goal Naoto Arai 12'
  • goal Naoto Arai 12'
  • goal Naoto Arai 25'
  • goal Naoto Arai 25'
  • yellowcard Yuki Ohashi 27'
  • yellowcard Yuki Ohashi 27'
  • goal Taishi Matsumoto 55'
  • goal Taishi Matsumoto 55'
  • goal Naoto Arai 69'
  • goal Naoto Arai 69'
J1 League Gameweek 28
Kyoto Sanga
Sep 23, 2023 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kyoto Nishikyogoku Stadium
Hiroshima
  • Yuta Toyokawa 52' goal
  • Taichi Hara 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Patric 90'+5' yellowcard
J1 League Gameweek 16
Hiroshima
Jun 4, 2023 6.00am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT EDION Stadium
Kyoto Sanga
  • Yusuke Chajima 59' goal
  • Yusuke Chajima 59' goal
  • Yusuke Chajima 71' goal
  • Yusuke Chajima 71' goal
  • Takumu Kawamura 90'+3' goal
  • Takumu Kawamura 90'+3' goal
  • goal Yuta Toyokawa 69'
  • goal Yuta Toyokawa 69'

Form Data

Tokyo Verdy 0 - 2 Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka 0 - 1 Hiroshima
Hiroshima 6 - 1 Cerezo
Okayama 3 - 2 Hiroshima
Hiroshima 3 - 0 Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka 0 - 0 Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga 1 - 0 Ratchaburi
Kyoto Sanga 0 - 1 Machida Zelvia
Okayama 1 - 2 Kyoto Sanga
Daejeon Citizen 1 - 0 Kyoto Sanga
Kyoto Sanga 2 - 3 Reysol
FC Tokyo 2 - 0 Kyoto Sanga