Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 11, 2024 at 8pm UK

Laurent Pokou Stadium

Ivory Coast
4 - 1
Sierra Leone

Pepe (3'), Kessie (51', 75' pen.), Diakite (87' pen.)
Traore (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Koroma (43')
Fornah (57'), Nbalie Kamara (75'), Traore (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ivory Coast and Sierra Leone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Chad 0-2 Ivory Coast
Tuesday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Sierra Leone

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Zambia 3-2 Sierra Leone
Tuesday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 81.67%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 5.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.38%) and 1-0 (12.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Sierra Leone
81.67% ( 0.03)	13.24% ( -0)	5.08% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 34.12% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.63% (

-0.14)

43.36% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.24% (

-0.14)

65.76% (

0.14)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.69% (

-0.03)

8.3% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.02% (

-0.06)

28.97% (

0.06)

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.22% (

-0.19)

62.78% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.99% (

-0.09)

92% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Ivory Coast 81.66%

Sierra Leone 5.08%

Draw 13.24%

Ivory Coast	Draw	Sierra Leone
2-0 @ 16.14% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 13.38% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 12.97% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 4.15% 4-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 81.66%	1-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 13.24%	0-1 @ 2.43% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.25% Total : 5.08%