/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fitalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ffralog.png)
-
Pio Esposito
26'
-
Pio Esposito
39'
-
Davide Frattesi
63'
-
Alessandro Bastoni
71'
-
Pio Esposito
75'
-
Michael Olise
10'
-
Jérémy Jacquet
13'
-
Junior Kroupi
90'+3'
Italy vs France - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
Feature
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The match
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Italy had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.16%) and 0-1 (5.93%). The likeliest Italy win was 2-1 (6.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
Result
Italy
30.28%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
20.71%
France
48.98%
Both Teams to Score:
66.11%
Goals
Over 1.5
86.16%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
13.84%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
68.08%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
31.92%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
47%
Under 3.5
53%
Over 4.5
32.02%
Under 4.5
67.98%
First Half Winner
Italy
25.34%
Draw
39.07%
France
35.59%
Team To Score First
Italy
45.91%
No Goal
3.23%
France
50.86%
Corners
Over 8
58.63%
Equal 8
10.3%
Under 8
31.06%
Over 9
48.04%
Equal 9
10.59%
Under 9
41.37%
Over 10.5
37.96%
Under 10.5
62.04%
Italy Goals
Over 1.5
39.31%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
60.69%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
18.55%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
81.45%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
7.24%
Under 3.5
92.76%
France Goals
Over 0.5
79.78%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
20.22%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
55.45%
Under 1.5
44.55%
Over 2.5
31.13%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
68.87%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
14.82%
Under 3.5
85.18%
Score analysis
Italy
30.28%
Draw
20.71%
France
48.97%
Italy
2-1
@
6.43%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.46%
3-1 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.76%
Total : 30.28%
1-0 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.46%
3-1 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.76%
Total : 30.28%
Draw
1-1
@
8.53%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 3.23%
3-3 @ 2.26%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 20.71%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 3.23%
3-3 @ 2.26%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 20.71%
France
1-2
@
8.49%
0-2 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.93%
1-3 @ 5.32%
2-3 @ 4.72%
0-3 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 14.34%
Total : 48.97%
0-2 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.93%
1-3 @ 5.32%
2-3 @ 4.72%
0-3 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 14.34%
Total : 48.97%
Head to Head
Build-up
Head to head
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