International Friendlies
Sep 27, 2026 12.35pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Chongqing Longxing Football Stadium
  • goal Tyler Bindon 4'
  • goal Ben Waine 29'
  • yellowcard Elijah Just 33'
  • goal Owen Parker-Price 82'

China vs New Zealand - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

China

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 9, 2026 12.35pm
China 0 - 0 Thailand

New Zealand

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 6, 2026 9.00pm
England 1 - 0 New Zealand

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.49% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 21.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%) , while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result

China 52.8%
Draw 25.49%
New Zealand 21.71%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.43%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.55%
Under 1.5 28.45%
Over 2.5 46.97%
Under 2.5 53.03%
Over 3.5 24.8%
Under 3.5 75.2%
Over 4.5 13.97%
Under 4.5 86.03%

First Half Winner

China 39.2%
Draw 42.5%
New Zealand 18.3%

Team To Score First

China 60.32%
No Goal 8.1%
New Zealand 31.58%

Corners

Over 8 62.76%
Equal 8 10.94%
Under 8 26.3%
Over 9 51.16%
Equal 9 11.6%
Under 9 37.24%
Over 10.5 39.89%
Under 10.5 60.11%

China Goals

Over 1.5 46.45%
Under 1.5 53.55%
Over 2.5 21.25%
Under 2.5 78.75%
Over 3.5 7.79%
Under 3.5 92.21%

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5 56.19%
Under 0.5 43.81%
Over 1.5 22.42%
Under 1.5 77.58%
Over 2.5 6.68%
Under 2.5 93.32%
Over 3.5 1.64%
Under 3.5 98.36%

Score analysis

China 52.8%
Draw 25.48%
New Zealand 21.71%
China
1-0 @ 13.14%
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 5.39%
3-1 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 2.45%
Other @ 7.69%
Total : 52.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 8.1%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.48%
New Zealand
0-1 @ 7.2%
1-2 @ 5.61%
0-2 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.33%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 21.71%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2023 4.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Chenjie Zhu 42' goal
  • Matthew Garbett 81' goal
  • goal Ba Dun 90'+2'
International Friendlies
Mar 23, 2023 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Westpac Stadium