Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 52.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.05% and a win for China had a probability of 23.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%) , while for a China win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.