International Friendly

Nov 20, 2022 at 2am UK

Estadio Hernando Siles

Peru
1 - 0
Bolivia

Iberico (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Peru and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Bolivia 0-2 Senegal
Saturday, September 24 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Peru

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Peru 1-0 Paraguay
Thursday, November 17 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 83.76%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 4.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.12%) and 1-0 (12.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.43%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peru would win this match.

Result
Peru	Draw	Bolivia
83.76% ( 19.86)	12% ( -11.36)	4.24% ( -8.5)

Both teams to score 32.4% (

-4.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.25% (

18.34)

41.75% (

-18.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.85% (

16.16)

64.15% (

-16.16)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.53% (

11.07)

7.47% (

-11.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.15% (

22.93)

26.84% (

-22.93)

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

35.02% (

-9.89)

64.98% (

9.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.01% (

-5.06)

92.99% (

5.06)

Score Analysis

Peru 83.75%

Bolivia 4.24%

Draw 12%

Peru	Draw	Bolivia
2-0 @ 16.33% ( 1.83) 3-0 @ 14.12% ( 5.97) 1-0 @ 12.59% ( -4.62) 4-0 @ 9.16% ( 5.73) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( -1.61) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 1.23) 5-0 @ 4.76% ( 3.6) 4-1 @ 3.95% ( 1.9) 6-0 @ 2.06% ( 1.73) 5-1 @ 2.05% ( 1.36) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.14) Other @ 4.29% Total : 83.75%	1-1 @ 5.43% ( -4.83) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( -5.36) 2-2 @ 1.52% ( -1.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 12%	0-1 @ 2.09% ( -4) 1-2 @ 1.17% ( -1.89) Other @ 0.98% Total : 4.24%