Copa Libertadores
-
Sheyko Studer
25'
-
Leonel Bucca
53'
-
Álex Arce
64'
-
Álex Arce
90'+7'
-
Hércules 12'
-
Agustín Canobbio 38'
-
Agustín Canobbio 57'
-
Hulk 60'
-
Yeferson Soteldo 60'
-
Kevin Serna 75'
-
Rodrigo Castillo 90'+4'
Independiente Rivadavia vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 29.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (10.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
Result
Independiente Rivadavia
37.24%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
29.39%
Fluminense
33.37%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
48.75%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
68.02%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
31.98%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 2.5
42.28%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
57.72%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
21.43%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
78.57%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 4.5
10.9%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 4.5
89.1%
▼
(-0.05)
First Half Winner
Independiente Rivadavia
26.68%
Draw
49.01%
Fluminense
24.31%
Team To Score First
Independiente Rivadavia
50.12%
▲
(+0.01)
No Goal
10.14%
▼
(-0.02)
Fluminense
39.74%
▲
(+0.02)
Corners
Over 8
46.32%
Equal 8
11.9%
Under 8
41.78%
Over 9
35.24%
Equal 9
11.08%
Under 9
53.68%
Over 10.5
25.73%
Under 10.5
74.27%
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 1.5
33.61%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
66.39%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 2.5
11.98%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
88.02%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
3.56%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
96.44%
▼
(-0.02)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5
65.62%
Under 0.5
34.38%
Over 1.5
30.54%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
69.46%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 2.5
10.98%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
89.02%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
3.03%
Under 3.5
96.97%
Score analysis
Independiente Rivadavia
37.24%
Draw
29.38%
Fluminense
33.37%
Independiente Rivadavia
1-0
@
11.37%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 37.24%
2-1 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 37.24%
Draw
1-1
@
13.36%
0-0 @ 10.14% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 29.38%
0-0 @ 10.14% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 29.38%
Fluminense
0-1
@
10.46%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74%
0-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.37%
1-2 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74%
0-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.37%
Head to Head
Copa Libertadores
Aug 11, 2026 11.00pm
0
0
HT :
0
0
FT
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
-
Ignácio
45'
-
Nonato
70'
-
Leonard Costa 17'
Copa Libertadores
Gameweek
4
-
Álex Arce
66'
-
Iván Villalba
79'
-
Alejo Osella
82'
-
Juan Elordi
82'
-
Gonzalo Ríos
86'
-
Leonel Bucca
86'
-
Alisson 78'
-
John Kennedy 78'
-
Yeferson Soteldo 78'
-
Kevin Serna 82'
-
John Kennedy 90'+1'
Copa Libertadores
Gameweek
2
Apr 16, 2026 1.30am
1
2
HT :
1
1
FT
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
-
Guilherme Arana
10'
-
Facundo Bernal
46'
-
Guga
66'
-
Kevin Serna
66'
-
John Kennedy
77'
-
Wesley Natã
81'
-
Fabrizio Sartori 37'
-
Álex Arce 51'
-
Juan Elordi 74'
-
Alejo Osella 74'
-
Gonzalo Ríos 81'
-
Leonel Bucca 81'
-
Iván Villalba 87'