Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 1
Apr 7, 2026 11.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Olímpico Patria
  • Francisco Rodríguez 46' yellowcard
  • Thomaz 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Diego Navarro 58' yellowcard
  • Alan Mercado 62' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Cristaldo  63' yellowcard
  • Alan Mercado 63' yellowcard
  • Jonatan Cristaldo 76' yellowcard
  • Wagner 76' yellowcard
  • goal Gonzalo Sebastián Sosa 27'
  • goal Gastón Martirena 37'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Sebastián Sosa 66'
  • yellowcard Damián Pizarro 66'
  • yellowcard Tomás Conechny 66'
  • yellowcard Adrián Fernández 66'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Cannavo 76'
  • yellowcard Matías Zaracho 81'
  • goal Adrián Fernández 90'+4'

Independiente Petrolero vs Racing Club - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Petrolero

All competitions

Racing Club

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Independiente Petrolero win was 1-0 (7.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

Independiente Petrolero 30.34% (-0.22)
Draw 24.96%
Racing Club 44.7% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.34% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.79% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 23.21% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 53.47% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.53% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.5% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 68.46% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.04% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.96% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Independiente Petrolero 27.47% (-0.22)
Draw 41.39% (-0.01)
Racing Club 31.14% (+0.22)

Team To Score First

Independiente Petrolero 41.97% (-0.38)
No Goal 6.48% (-0.02)
Racing Club 51.55% (+0.40)

Corners

Over 8 48.34% (+2.19)
Equal 8 11.59% (-0.31)
Under 8 40.06% (-1.90)
Over 9 37.36% (+2.26)
Equal 9 10.98% (-0.09)
Under 9 51.66% (-2.19)
Over 10.5 27.76% (+2.16)
Under 10.5 72.24% (-2.16)

Independiente Petrolero Goals

Over 1.5 33.25% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 66.75% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 12.86% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 87.14% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 4.08% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 95.92% (+0.07)

Racing Club Goals

Over 0.5 75.73% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 24.27% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 44.91% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 55.09% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 20.39% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 79.61% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 7.73% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 92.27% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Independiente Petrolero 30.35%
Draw 24.97%
Racing Club 44.71%
Independiente Petrolero
1-0 @ 7.35% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.68% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.78% (-0.07)
Total : 30.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.19% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.48% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.73% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 24.97%
Racing Club
0-1 @ 9.41% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.05% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 7.43% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.56% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.88% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.03)
Other @ 7.43% (+0.09)
Total : 44.71%