Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Independiente Petrolero win was 1-0 (7.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.