Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fgbilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmozlog.png)
-
Victor Rofino Gordo
14'
-
Julio Augusto Dabo
37'
-
Beto
42'
-
Bruno Langa
9'
-
Nanani
37'
-
Ernan
41'
-
Stanley Ratifo
52'
-
Geny Catamo
52'
Guinea-Bissau vs Mozambique - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F41%2Fguinea-bissau_1.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.79%) and 1-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 (11.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.
Result
Guinea-Bissau
31.16%
▲
(+0.61)
Draw
29.45%
▲
(+0.64)
Mozambique
39.38%
▼
(-1.25)
Both Teams to Score:
43.05%
▼
(-1.47)
Goals
Over 2.5
36.24%
▼
(-1.90)
Under 2.5
63.75%
▲
(+1.90)
Over 3.5
16.99%
▼
(-1.38)
Under 3.5
83.01%
▲
(+1.38)
Over 4.5
6.66%
▼
(-0.76)
Under 4.5
93.33%
▲
(+0.75)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5
62.89%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 0.5
37.1%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 1.5
26.11%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 1.5
73.89%
▲
(+0.58)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5
68.44%
▼
(-1.69)
Under 0.5
31.56%
▲
(+1.69)
Over 1.5
32.04%
▼
(-2.00)
Under 1.5
67.95%
▲
(+2.00)
Score analysis
Guinea-Bissau
31.15%
Draw
29.43%
Mozambique
39.38%
Guinea-Bissau
1-0
@
11.6%
▲
(+0.62)
2-1 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.23)
3-1 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 31.15%
2-1 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.23)
3-1 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 31.15%
Draw
1-1
@
13.38%
▲
(+0.12)
0-0 @ 11.7% ▲ (+0.79)
2-2 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.43%
0-0 @ 11.7% ▲ (+0.79)
2-2 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.43%
Mozambique
0-1
@
13.5%
▲
(+0.33)
0-2 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.18)
1-2 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.31)
0-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.22)
1-3 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.27)
2-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 39.38%
0-2 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.18)
1-2 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.31)
0-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.22)
1-3 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.27)
2-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 39.38%
Head to Head
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
-
Ricardo Guimaraes
5'
-
Ricardo Guimaraes
38'
-
Elias Macamo
73'
-
Ernan
90'
-
Mama Balde
24'
-
Manuel Balde
90'+5'
International Friendlies