CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 4, 2023 11.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Andreaw Gravillon 27' goal
  • Ange-Freddy Plumain 63' goal
  • goal Rubio Rubin 39'
  • goal Rubio Rubin 70'
  • goal Carlos Mejia 75'

Guadeloupe vs Guatemala - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Guadeloupe

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last game
Jul 2, 2023 12.30am
Cuba 1 - 4 Guadeloupe

Guatemala

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last game
Jul 2, 2023 2.30am
Guatemala 0 - 0 Canada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result

Guadeloupe 38.5% (-0.43)
Draw 28.14% (+0.06)
Guatemala 33.36% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.13% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.04% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 58.96% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 20.56% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 79.44% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 8.66% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 91.34% (+0.07)

Guadeloupe Goals

Over 0.5 70.31% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 29.69% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 34.25% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 65.75% (+0.39)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5 67.04% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 32.96% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 30.46% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 69.54% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Guadeloupe 38.49%
Draw 28.13%
Guatemala 33.36%
Guadeloupe
1-0 @ 11.88% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.01% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 38.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.18% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.79% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.13%
Guatemala
0-1 @ 10.86% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 7.32% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.03% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.71% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.23% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.64% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.36%