Copa do Brasil
Aug 5, 2026 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena do Grêmio
  • Cristian Pavón 37' goal
  • Gustavo Martins 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Cristian Pavón 87' yellowcard
  • Weverton 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Wallace 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Reinaldo  33'
  • yellowcard Denilson 36'
  • yellowcard Bruno Santos 45'+2'

Gremio vs Mirassol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 10.00pm
Mirassol 1 - 1 Gremio

Mirassol

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 10.00pm
Mirassol 1 - 1 Gremio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Mirassol had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Mirassol win was 0-1 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

Gremio 48.67% (-0.33)
Draw 25.62% (+0.11)
Mirassol 25.75% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.36% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.13% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 28.87% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 46.48% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 53.52% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 24.38% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 75.62% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 13.26% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 86.74% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Gremio 34.14% (-0.05)
Draw 44.27% (-0.16)
Mirassol 21.59% (+0.22)

Team To Score First

Gremio 56.02% (-0.29)
No Goal 8.21% (+0.16)
Mirassol 35.77% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 60.49% (+0.06)
Equal 8 10.93% (+0.03)
Under 8 28.58% (-0.08)
Over 9 49.13% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.36% (+0.02)
Under 9 39.51% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 38.27%
Under 10.5 61.73%

Gremio Goals

Over 1.5 42.96% (-0.51)
Under 1.5 57.04% (+0.51)
Over 2.5 18.33% (-0.37)
Under 2.5 81.67% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 6.26% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 93.74% (+0.18)

Mirassol Goals

Over 0.5 59.8% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 40.2% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 25.34% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 74.66% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 8.31% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 91.69% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 2.09% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.91% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Gremio 48.66%
Draw 25.63%
Mirassol 25.76%
Gremio
1-0 @ 12.62% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.24% (-0.17)
Total : 48.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.21% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.02% (-0.01)
Total : 25.63%
Mirassol
0-1 @ 8.09% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 6.5% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.64% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.22% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.71% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.53% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.07% (+0.03)
Total : 25.76%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Aug 2, 2026 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
  • Bruno Santos 19' goal
  • Reinaldo  76' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Cazonatti 78' yellowcard
  • Rafael Guanaes 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Francis Amuzu 51'
  • yellowcard Luís Castro 58'
  • yellowcard José Enamorado 76'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Jul 18, 2026 12.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
  • Bruno Santos 16' goal
  • Denilson 38' yellowcard
  • Edson Carioca 40' goal
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann  41'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Martins 65'
  • goal Carlos Vinícius 77'
  • yellowcard Leonel Pérez 79'
Brasileiro
Sep 13, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Apr 16, 2025 11.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Maria de Campos Maia
  • Daniel Borges 3' goal
  • Reinaldo 21' goal
  • Luiz Henrique Soares Firmino 64' yellowcard
  • Reinaldo 78' goal
  • Daniel Borges 85' goal
  • Daniel Borges 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Braithwaite 15'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 18'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 60'
  • yellowcard Edenilson 67'
  • goal Martin Braithwaite 82'