Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadioni Ragbi Arena
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Ballard 64'
  • yellowcard Ciaron Brown 67'
  • yellowcard Justin Devenny 90'+5'
  • goal Shea Charles 90'+9'

Georgia vs Northern Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Georgia

All competitions

Northern Ireland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 62.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.9%) , while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Georgia 62.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 23.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Northern Ireland 14.51% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.51% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 31.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 45.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 54.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 25.05%
Under 3.5 74.95%
Over 4.5 15.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.11% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Georgia 47.83% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 38.3% ▲ (+0.12)
Northern Ireland 13.87% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Georgia 65.81%
No Goal 9.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Northern Ireland 24.29% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 45.95% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.54%
Under 8 42.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 35.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 10.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 54.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 26.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 73.91% ▲ (+0.02)

Georgia Goals

Over 1.5 51.44% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 48.56% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 27.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 72.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 12.02%
Under 3.5 87.98%

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 43.84% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 56.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 13.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 86.37% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 3.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 96.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.28% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Georgia 62.39%
Draw 23.11%
Northern Ireland 14.5%
Georgia
1-0 @ 15.06% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 11.79% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.45%
3-1 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.03%
Other @ 11.96%
Total : 62.39%
Draw
0-0 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.01)
1-1 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.87%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 23.11%
Northern Ireland
0-1 @ 6.28%
1-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.97%
Other @ 0.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 14.5%