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[monks data]
Fulham logo
Championship | Gameweek 19
Nov 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Craven Cottage
Derby logo

Fulham
0 - 0
Derby


Carvalho (61')
FT

Ebosele (60'), Shinnie (79')

Preview: Fulham vs. Derby County - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Fulham and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Top meets bottom in the Championship on Wednesday evening as leaders Fulham play host to Derby County.

While the Cottagers sit nine points clear in the race for automatic promotion to the Premier League, the Rams are 15 points off safety at the other end of the standings.


Match preview

Fulham manager Marco Silva applauds fans after the match on September 11, 2021© Reuters

With 28 matches remaining, Marco Silva will not get carried away with the form of his Fulham side, but the Portuguese cannot be anything but satisfied with their efforts this season.

A shaky spell during September has been followed by pure dominance, the Cottagers extending their winning streak to seven matches at the weekend with a 4-1 victory over Barnsley.

Fulham now have 48 goals from just 18 games, 21 of which have come from Aleksandar Mitrovic, but Silva will take greater pride from four different players getting on the scoresheet at the weekend.

Harry Wilson and Neeskens Kebano now have 10 strikes and 12 assists between them, while youngster Fabio Carvalho got back in on the action during the fixture with the Tykes.

Silva's side have now prevailed in seven of their nine games in West London this season, and they will expect to improve on that against a struggling Derby outfit.

Derby County's Tom Lawrence celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on October 19, 2021© Reuters

Nevertheless, in the face of persistent adversity, Wayne Rooney is working wonders at Pride Park, his side responding to their latest points deduction by recording a dramatic 3-2 triumph over promotion-chasing Bournemouth.

The argument will be that Derby are playing with less pressure on their shoulders given that they are seemingly at the point of no return, but there will be renewed optimism after closing the gap to safety to 15 points.

Although the Rams would only occupy 16th spot without their double punishment, losing just three of their last 12 matches is some achievement given the circumstances.

Goals have not always been Derby's strong point under Rooney, but they have now netted in six successive matches, scoring nine in total.

Fulham Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Derby County Championship form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W



Team News

Derby County's Colin Kazim-Richards celebrates scoring their first goal against Nottingham Forest in the Championship on February 26, 2021© Reuters

Having had an extra day of recovery, Silva will give consideration to selecting the same Fulham XI on Wednesday.

However, Denis Odoi and Tosin Adarabioyo are both available again after suspension, and are options at right-back and centre-back respectively.

Tom Cairney added something different to the team on Saturday and could keep his place ahead of Jean Michael Seri.

Derby will be forced into at least one change with Sam Baldock having sustained a hamstring injury against Bournemouth.

Lee Buchanan also picked up a knock in that game, leaving Colin Kazim-Richards and Craig Forsyth in line to come into the team.

Nathan Byrne returns from suspension and should take the place of Festy Ebosele at right-back.

Fulham possible starting lineup:
Rodak; Tete, Hector, Ream, Robinson; Reed, Cairney; Wilson, Carvalho, Kebano; Mitrovic

Derby County possible starting lineup:
Roos; Byrne, Jagielka, Davies, Forsyth; Knight, Thompson, Bird, Shinnie, Lawrence; Kazim-Richards


SM words green background

We say: Fulham 3-0 Derby County

Having stunned Bournemouth at the weekend, Derby have alleviated a certain degree of pressure ahead of this contest. However, despite being able to play with a greater sense of freedom, it would come as a surprise if Fulham do not cruise to victory in West London.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 66.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.31%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Fulham vs Derby

Fulham
80.2%
Draw
10.4%
Derby County
9.4%
106
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Fulham manager Marco Silva applauds fans after the match on September 11, 2021
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