Club Friendlies 3
Jul 10, 2026 5.00pm
Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion

Heidenheim vs Lugano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 3.00pm
Rheindorf Altach 1 - 2 Heidenheim

Lugano

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 7, 2026 5.00pm
Memmingen 0 - 4 Lugano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lugano win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw has a probability of 22.71% and a win for Heidenheim has a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.25%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.63%) , while for a Heidenheim win it is 2-1 (5.48%).

Result

Heidenheim 21.4% (+0.01)
Draw 22.71% (-0.09)
Lugano 55.89% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.49% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.56% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 20.44% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 57.93% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 42.07% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 35.45% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 64.55% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 22.13% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 77.87% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Heidenheim 19.35% (-0.06)
Draw 38.19% (-0.13)
Lugano 42.46% (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Heidenheim 32.86% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.89% (-0.04)
Lugano 61.25% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 53.99% (+0.09)
Equal 8 11.46% (-0.01)
Under 8 34.55% (-0.08)
Over 9 42.66% (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.33% (+0.01)
Under 9 46.01% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 32.35% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 67.65% (-0.07)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 1.5 26.4% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 73.6% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.57%
Under 2.5 90.43%
Over 3.5 2.57% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.43% (+0.02)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5 82.31% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 17.69% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 55.75% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 44.25% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 30.06% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 69.94% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 13.6% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 86.4% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Heidenheim 21.4%
Draw 22.71%
Lugano 55.89%
Heidenheim
2-1 @ 5.48% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 5.3% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.86% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 1.92% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.51% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.13% (+0.01)
Total : 21.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.89% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.44% (-0.03)
Total : 22.71%
Lugano
1-2 @ 9.27% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 9.12% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 6.22% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.76% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.11%
Other @ 13.16% (+0.09)
Total : 55.89%