Club Friendlies 3
Jul 4, 2026 9.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • C. Saleggi 72' goal
  • Georgios Koutsias 72' goal
  • goal Davide Muzzi 61'

Lugano vs Rapperswil-Jona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 9.30am
Lugano 2 - 1 Neuchatel Xamax

Rapperswil-Jona

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 26, 2026 5.00pm
Rapperswil-Jona 0 - 3 Basel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Rapperswil-Jona had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Rapperswil-Jona win was 1-2 (6.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Lugano 48.58% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 23.76% ▲ (+0.06)
Rapperswil-Jona 27.7% ▲ (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.23% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.67% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 18.33% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 60.85%
Under 2.5 39.15%
Over 3.5 38.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 61.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 23.37% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 76.63% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Lugano 38.36% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 38.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Rapperswil-Jona 23.13% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Lugano 55.57% ▲ (+0.07)
No Goal 5.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Rapperswil-Jona 39.39% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 52.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 36.38% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 9 40.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 47.99% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 10.5 30.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 69.47% ▼ (-0.02)

Lugano Goals

Over 1.5 51.72% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 48.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 26.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 73.81% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 10.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.31% ▲ (+0.02)

Rapperswil-Jona Goals

Over 0.5 65.55% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 34.45% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 34.19% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 65.81% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 13.63% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 86.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.47% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lugano 48.59%
Draw 23.77%
Rapperswil-Jona 27.69%
Lugano
2-1 @ 9.59% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.98%
Other @ 10.48%
Total : 48.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.64% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.77%
Rapperswil-Jona
1-2 @ 6.9%
0-1 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.85%
2-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 27.69%