Club Friendlies 3
Jun 27, 2026 9.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Renato Steffen 11' goal
  • Anto Grgic 59' goal
  • goal Eris Abedini 26'

Lugano vs Neuchatel Xamax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 9, 2026 9.30am
Lugano 2 - 4 Plzen

Neuchatel Xamax

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 12.00pm
Winterthur 2 - 1 Neuchatel Xamax

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for Neuchatel Xamax had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Neuchatel Xamax win was 1-2 (7.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Lugano 49.45% (+0.05)
Draw 23.38% (+0.01)
Neuchatel Xamax 27.16% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.75%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.9% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 17.1% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 62.3% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 37.7% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 38.52% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 61.48% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 23.97% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 76.03% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Lugano 38.3% (-0.06)
Draw 38.85% (-0.12)
Neuchatel Xamax 22.85% (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Lugano 58.48% (+0.03)
No Goal 4.37% (+0.03)
Neuchatel Xamax 37.15% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 59.7% (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.24%
Under 8 29.07% (+0.13)
Over 9 48.08% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.62% (-0.02)
Under 9 40.3% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 37.06% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 62.94% (+0.08)

Lugano Goals

Over 1.5 53.39% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 46.61% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 27.33% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 72.67% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 12.12%
Under 3.5 87.88%

Neuchatel Xamax Goals

Over 0.5 65.19% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 34.81% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 33.88% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 66.12% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 13.39% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 86.61% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.24% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.76% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Lugano 49.44%
Draw 23.38%
Neuchatel Xamax 27.15%
Lugano
2-1 @ 10.12% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.29% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.81% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.32% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.58%
3-2 @ 3.59%
Other @ 11.73%
Total : 49.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.46% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.44% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.37% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23.38%
Neuchatel Xamax
1-2 @ 7.11%
0-1 @ 5.41%
0-2 @ 3.35% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.85% (-0.03)
Total : 27.15%

Head to Head

Swiss Super League Gameweek 36
Aug 3, 2020 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT La Maladiere
  • Marcis Oss 39' yellowcard
  • Raphael Nuzzolo 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Akos Kecskes 48'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Sabbatini 70'
  • goal Christopher Lungoyi 72'
  • yellowcard Christopher Lungoyi 76'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2020 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Cornaredo
  • Mijat Maric 35' goal
  • Fulvio Sulmoni 40' yellowcard
  • Numa Lavanchy 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Freddy Mveng 38'
  • goal Serey Die 41'
  • yellowcard Serey Die 61'
  • yellowcard Mike Gomes 88'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 17
Dec 7, 2019 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Raphael Nuzzolo 3' goal
  • Freddy Mveng 23' yellowcard
  • Gaetan Karlen 65' yellowcard
  • Igor Duric 72' yellowcard
  • Andre 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miroslav Covilo 12'
  • yellowcard Marco Aratore 38'
  • yellowcard Akos Kecskes 46'
  • yellowcard Olivier Custodio 69'
  • goal Olivier Custodio 73'
  • yellowcard David da Costa 80'
  • yellowcard Fabio Daprela 87'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 9
Sep 29, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • yellowcard Arbenit Xhemajli 8'
  • yellowcard Marcis Oss 19'
  • goal Gaetan Karlen 27'
  • yellowcard Andre 81'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 35
May 22, 2019 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Maladière (Neuchâtel)
  • Mustafa Sejmenovic 61' yellowcard
  • Charles Doudin 65' yellowcard
  • Charles Pickel 67' goal
  • goal Mike Gomes 36' (OG)
  • yellowcard Fulvio Sulmoni 57'
Swiss Super League
May 21, 2019 1.00am