Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flora win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Riga FC had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flora win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (5.11%). The likeliest Riga FC win was 1-2 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.