Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flora win with a probability of 66.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.93% and a win for FC Daugavpils had a probability of 15.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flora win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%) , while for a FC Daugavpils win it was 1-2 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.