Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Petrocub Hincesti win was 1-2 (6.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.