Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flora win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Paide had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flora win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Paide win was 1-2 (7.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.