Club Friendlies 3
Feb 20, 2026 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT A. Le Coq Arena
  • Rauno Sappinen 84' goal
  • Taaniel Usta 87' goal
  • 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Rauno Sappinen 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Kristofer Piht 48'

Flora vs Paide - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Flora

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 1.00pm
Flora 1 - 0 Levadia

Paide

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 10.00am
Paide 2 - 1 Nomme Kalju

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flora win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Paide had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flora win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Paide win was 1-2 (7.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Flora 43.38%
Draw 23.66% (+0.02)
Paide 32.92%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.11%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.73% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 18.27% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 61.8% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 38.2% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 39.52% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 60.48% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 24.39% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 75.61% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Flora 36.99%
Draw 37.87%
Paide 25.15%

Team To Score First

Flora 52.57%
No Goal 4.64% (-0.02)
Paide 42.79% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 66.05%
Equal 8 10.06%
Under 8 23.89% (+0.02)
Over 9 55.11%
Equal 9 10.94%
Under 9 33.95%
Over 10.5 44.17%
Under 10.5 55.83%

Flora Goals

Over 1.5 47.59% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 52.41% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 23.31% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 76.69% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 9.77%
Under 3.5 90.23%

Paide Goals

Over 0.5 69.19% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 30.81% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 39.56% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 60.44% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.57% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.43% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 6.61%
Under 3.5 93.39%

Score analysis

Flora 43.38%
Draw 23.65%
Paide 32.92%
Flora
2-1 @ 8.95% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.67% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.42% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.38% (-0.01)
Total : 43.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.09% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.72% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.39% (+0.02)
Total : 23.65%
Paide
1-2 @ 7.45% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 5.93% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.47% (+0.04)
Other @ 6.22% (-0.02)
Total : 32.92%