Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2026 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Helsingin olympiastadion
  • Leo Walta 26' goal
  • Kaan Kairinen 40' yellowcard
  • Leo Walta 71' goal
  • goal Rey Manaj 4'
  • redcard Etrit Berisha 22'
  • yellowcard Alen Sherri 26'
  • yellowcard Berat Djimsiti 74'
  • yellowcard Myrto Uzuni 80'
  • yellowcard 80'
  • yellowcard Rolando Maran 81'

Finland vs Albania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions

Albania

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Albania had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Albania win was 0-1 (8.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Finland 38.09% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 25.81% ▼ (-0.25)
Albania 36.11% ▲ (+0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.35% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.24% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 1.5 25.76% ▼ (-0.60)
Over 2.5 50.69% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 2.5 49.31% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 3.5 28.77% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 3.5 71.23% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 4.5 16.17% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 4.5 83.83% ▼ (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Finland 30.07% ▲ (+0.40)
Draw 41.49% ▼ (-0.11)
Albania 28.45% ▼ (-0.29)

Team To Score First

Finland 49.77% ▲ (+0.88)
No Goal 7.42% ▼ (-0.12)
Albania 42.81% ▼ (-0.76)

Corners

Over 8 45.24% ▲ (+0.81)
Equal 8 11.98% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 8 42.78% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 9 34.17% ▲ (+1.22)
Equal 9 11.07% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 9 54.76% ▼ (-0.81)
Over 10.5 24.75% ▲ (+1.45)
Under 10.5 75.25% ▼ (-1.44)

Finland Goals

Over 1.5 37.79% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 1.5 62.21% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 2.5 15.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 84.34% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.72% ▼ (-0.02)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5 69.02% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 0.5 30.98% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 1.5 36.28% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 1.5 63.72% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 2.5 14.95% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 2.5 85.05% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 3.5 4.91% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 95.09% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Finland 38.08%
Draw 25.81%
Albania 36.11%
Finland
1-0 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.24)
2-1 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 5.08%
Total : 38.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82% ▼ (-0.30)
0-0 @ 7.42% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.81%
Albania
0-1 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.28)
1-2 @ 7.89% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 36.11%