Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 36

May 12, 2024 at 5pm UK

Vefa Stadi

Karagumruk
2 - 3
Galatasaray

Mendes (34'), Marcao (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Yilmaz (45+4'), Mertens (70'), Kutlu (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions

Turkish Super Lig

Last Game: Kayserispor 2-2 Karagumruk
Saturday, May 4 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Galatasaray

All competitions

Last Game: Galatasaray 6-1 Sivasspor
Sunday, May 5 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 16.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Galatasaray
16.37% ( -1.13)	19.8% ( -0.52)	63.83% ( 1.65)

Both teams to score 55.46% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.64% (

0.32)

39.35% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.31% (

0.34)

61.69% (

-0.34)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.8% (

-1.13)

37.19% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.02% (

-1.13)

73.98% (

1.13)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.31% (

0.55)

11.69% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.22% (

1.17)

36.78% (

-1.17)

Score Analysis

Fatih Karagumruk 16.37%

Galatasaray 63.82%

Draw 19.8%

Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Galatasaray
2-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.26% Total : 16.37%	1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.8%	0-2 @ 10.01% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 7.17% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 7.09% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 3.85% ( 0.27) 1-4 @ 3.8% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.65% ( 0.15) 1-5 @ 1.63% ( 0.1) Other @ 4% Total : 63.82%