Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 82.7%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Pendikspor had a probability of 6.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 4-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.16%), while for a Pendikspor win it was 1-2 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.