Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.