FA Cup
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
Penydarren Park

Merthyr Town vs Truro City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Merthyr Town

All competitions

Truro City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for Truro City has a probability of 26.24% and a draw has a probability of 23.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Truro City win is 1-2 (6.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.25%).

Result

Merthyr Town 50.64% (-0.09)
Draw 23.12% (-0.01)
Truro City 26.24% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.72% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.22% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 19.78% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 59.18% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 40.82% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 36.15% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 63.85% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 23% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 77% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Merthyr Town 40.53% (-0.70)
Draw 37.21% (-0.15)
Truro City 22.26% (+0.84)

Team To Score First

Merthyr Town 56.66% (+1.53)
No Goal 5.39% (-0.13)
Truro City 37.95% (-1.41)

Corners

Over 8 63.13% (+0.83)
Equal 8 10.42% (-0.34)
Under 8 26.45% (-0.49)
Over 9 52.06% (+1.11)
Equal 9 11.06% (-0.29)
Under 9 36.87% (-0.83)
Over 10.5 41.25% (+1.30)
Under 10.5 58.75% (-1.30)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 1.5 51.91% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 48.09% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 27.62% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 72.38% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 12.39%
Under 3.5 87.61%

Truro City Goals

Over 0.5 61.4% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 38.6% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 31.01% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 68.99% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 12.56% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 87.44% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 4.11% (+0.35)
Under 3.5 95.89% (-0.35)

Score analysis

Merthyr Town 50.65%
Draw 23.12%
Truro City 26.24%
Merthyr Town
2-1 @ 9.21% (+0.10)
1-0 @ 8.54% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 7.29%
3-0 @ 5.49% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.08)
Other @ 11.9% (-0.09)
Total : 50.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.25% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.39% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.49% (+0.09)
Total : 23.12%
Truro City
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 5.86% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.48%
1-3 @ 2.62% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.62% (+0.25)
Total : 26.24%