National League North Gameweek 9
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Flamingo Land Stadium
  • Alex Purver 21' yellowcard
  • Kieran Weledji 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Lucas 13'
  • yellowcard Ben Margetson 51'
  • yellowcard Aneurin Livermore 90'+2'

Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Macclesfield 0 - 0 Scarborough Ath
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Rio Allan

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Chester 0 - 1 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Jacob Maddox

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Merthyr Town has a probability of 30.6% and a draw has a probability of 23.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Merthyr Town win is 1-2 (7.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.74%).

Result

Scarborough Athletic 45.46% ▼ (-0.27)
Draw 23.94% ▼ (-0.09)
Merthyr Town 30.6% ▲ (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.54% ▲ (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.63% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 1.5 20.37% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 2.5 57.87% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 2.5 42.13% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 3.5 35.22% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 64.78% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 4.5 20.7% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 4.5 79.3% ▼ (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Scarborough Athletic 40.08% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 36.72% ▼ (-0.13)
Merthyr Town 23.19% ▲ (+0.20)

Team To Score First

Scarborough Athletic 55.58% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 5.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Merthyr Town 39.12% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 54.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 12.19% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 8 33.76% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 9 41.98% ▼ (-0.13)
Equal 9 12.07% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 9 45.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 31.07% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 10.5 68.94% ▲ (+0.22)

Scarborough Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 47.83% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 52.17% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 22.64% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 77.36% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 8.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 91.04% ▲ (+0.05)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 0.5 66.81% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 0.5 33.19% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 1.5 35.01% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 1.5 64.99% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 2.5 14.14% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 2.5 85.86% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 4.56% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 95.44% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Scarborough Athletic 45.45%
Draw 23.94%
Merthyr Town 30.61%
Scarborough Athletic
2-1 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.32% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 45.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.74% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.94%
Merthyr Town
1-2 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.13)
0-1 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 30.61%

Head to Head

National League North
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Flamingo Land Stadium
  • Kieran Weledji 68' goal
  • Rio Allan 79' goal
  • goal Cawley Cox 3'
National League North
Aug 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT