National League North Gameweek 9
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Flamingo Land Stadium

Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Macclesfield 0 - 0 Scarborough Ath
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Rio Allan

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Chester 0 - 1 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Jacob Maddox

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Merthyr Town has a probability of 30.19% and a draw has a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Merthyr Town win is 1-2 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.76%).

Result

Scarborough Athletic 45.73% (-0.14)
Draw 24.03% (-0.08)
Merthyr Town 30.19% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.26% (-0.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.4% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 20.6% (-0.47)
Over 2.5 57.56% (+0.86)
Under 2.5 42.44% (-0.86)
Over 3.5 35.07% (+0.65)
Under 3.5 64.93% (-0.65)
Over 4.5 20.55% (+0.45)
Under 4.5 79.45% (-0.44)

First Half Winner

Scarborough Athletic 40.15% (+0.66)
Draw 36.84% (-1.18)
Merthyr Town 23% (+0.52)

Team To Score First

Scarborough Athletic 55.61% (-1.00)
No Goal 5.36% (-0.13)
Merthyr Town 39.03% (+1.14)

Corners

Over 8 54.06% (-0.34)
Equal 8 12.09% (+0.11)
Under 8 33.86% (+0.25)
Over 9 42.1% (-0.41)
Equal 9 11.96% (+0.09)
Under 9 45.94% (+0.34)
Over 10.5 31.28% (-0.43)
Under 10.5 68.72% (+0.43)

Scarborough Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 47.95% (+0.67)
Under 1.5 52.05% (-0.67)
Over 2.5 22.73% (+0.75)
Under 2.5 77.27% (-0.75)
Over 3.5 9% (+0.43)
Under 3.5 91% (-0.44)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 0.5 66.43% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 33.57% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 34.58% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 65.42% (-0.30)
Over 2.5 13.84% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 86.16% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 4.45% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.55% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Scarborough Athletic 45.72%
Draw 24.03%
Merthyr Town 30.19%
Scarborough Athletic
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.18)
1-0 @ 8.42% (-0.42)
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.03% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 4.03% (+0.26)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.10)
Other @ 8.69% (+0.33)
Total : 45.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.22)
2-2 @ 6.17% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.36% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.43% (+0.10)
Other @ 0.31% (+0.11)
Total : 24.03%
Merthyr Town
1-2 @ 7.26%
0-1 @ 6.76% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 3.32% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.74% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.9% (+0.14)
Other @ 4.14% (-0.11)
Total : 30.19%

Head to Head

National League North
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Flamingo Land Stadium
  • Kieran Weledji 68' goal
  • Rio Allan 79' goal
  • goal Cawley Cox 3'
National League North
Aug 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT