National League South Gameweek 4
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • goal Tyler Harvey 53'
  • goal Tyler Harvey 74'

Tonbridge Angels vs Truro City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
Dover Athletic 0 - 1 Tonbridge Angels
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Jephte Tanga

Truro City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 0 - 0 Truro City
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Tyler Harvey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Truro City win was 0-1 (8.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Tonbridge Angels 40.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 26.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Truro City 33.47% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.66%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 27.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 48.56%
Under 2.5 51.44%
Over 3.5 26.89%
Under 3.5 73.11%
Over 4.5 14.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.29% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Tonbridge Angels 32% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 42.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Truro City 25.1% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Tonbridge Angels 50.34% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 8.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Truro City 40.84% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 55.84%
Equal 8 11.62%
Under 8 32.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 44.19%
Equal 9 11.65%
Under 9 44.16%
Over 10.5 33.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 66.55% ▲ (+0.01)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 1.5 38.56%
Under 1.5 61.44%
Over 2.5 15.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.35%
Under 3.5 94.65%

Truro City Goals

Over 0.5 65.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 34.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 33.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 66.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 12.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.88%
Under 3.5 96.12%

Score analysis

Tonbridge Angels 40.04%
Draw 26.51%
Truro City 33.45%
Tonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 8.74%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 3.68%
3-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.29%
Other @ 5.34%
Total : 40.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55%
0-0 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.51%
Truro City
0-1 @ 8.78%
1-2 @ 7.39%
0-2 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21%
0-3 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 33.45%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Longmead Stadium
  • goal Will Dean 15'
National League South Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Treyew Road
  • Tyler Harvey 40' goal
  • Jaze Kabia 90'+3' goal
  • goal Crossley Lema 51'
  • yellowcard Noel Leighton 80'
National League South Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Jordan Higgs 84' goal
  • Jamie Fielding 90'+3' goal
  • goal Josh Hinds 65'
National League South Gameweek 15
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Treyew Road
  • Tyler Harvey 90'+3' redcard
  • Harvey Greenslade 90'+8' goal
  • goal Sonny Fish 45'+2'
  • goal Lewis Gard 62'
  • redcard Janneh. 79'+79'