National League South Gameweek 7
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Truro Sports Hub

Truro City vs Chesham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Truro City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
Dorking 1 - 0 Truro City
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Tyler Harvey

Chesham United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
Chesham 2 - 2 Dover Athletic
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Hisham Kasimu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesham United win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Truro City has a probability of 32.69% and a draw has a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Truro City win is 1-0 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.36%).

Result

Truro City 32.69% (+0.72)
Draw 27% (+0.59)
Chesham United 40.31% (-1.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.57% (+0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.15% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 24.85% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 51.21% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 48.79% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 28.89% (+0.82)
Under 3.5 71.11% (-0.82)
Over 4.5 16.11% (+0.68)
Under 4.5 83.89% (-0.68)

First Half Winner

Truro City 25.57% (-0.88)
Draw 41.07% (+0.50)
Chesham United 33.36% (+0.40)

Team To Score First

Truro City 44.59% (+0.34)
No Goal 7.54% (+0.12)
Chesham United 47.87% (-0.45)

Corners

Over 8 55.48% (+1.80)
Equal 8 11.72% (+0.06)
Under 8 32.8% (-1.85)
Over 9 43.76% (+1.58)
Equal 9 11.72% (+0.22)
Under 9 44.52% (-1.80)
Over 10.5 33% (+1.27)
Under 10.5 67% (-1.27)

Truro City Goals

Over 1.5 34.18% (+1.11)
Under 1.5 65.82% (-1.12)
Over 2.5 12.67% (+0.90)
Under 2.5 87.33% (-0.90)
Over 3.5 3.89% (+0.44)
Under 3.5 96.11% (-0.44)

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5 73.04% (-0.48)
Under 0.5 26.96% (+0.49)
Over 1.5 40.63% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 59.37% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 17.69% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 82.31% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 6.37% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 93.63% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Truro City 32.68%
Draw 27%
Chesham United 40.31%
Truro City
1-0 @ 8.25% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.05% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 5.12% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 2.95% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 2.39% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.27% (+0.15)
Other @ 3.65% (+0.27)
Total : 32.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.54% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.69% (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.24% (+0.16)
Total : 27%
Chesham United
0-1 @ 9.05% (-0.35)
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.40)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 3.36% (-0.21)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.06)
Other @ 6.13% (+0.01)
Total : 40.31%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 36
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT The Meadow
  • Mitchell Weiss 88' goal
  • goal Connor Riley-Lowe 3'
  • goal Tyler Harvey 14'
  • goal Dominic Johnson-Fisher 43'
  • goal Luke Jephcott 66'
National League South Gameweek 18
Nov 23, 2024 3.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Treyew Road
  • Jaze Kabia 73' goal
  • Tyler Harvey 75' goal
  • goal Connor Stevens 41'
  • yellowcard Lewis Rolfe 66'