National League South
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Ironmongery Direct Stadium
  • Anisius Lewis 11' goal
  • Anisius Lewis 18' redcard
  • G. Evans 45'+2' goal
  • George Evans 65' goal
  • goal Hisham Kasimu 8'
  • goal Matt Lench 77'

Braintree Town vs Chesham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Braintree Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Braintree 0 - 4 Tonbridge Angels

Chesham United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Weston 3 - 0 Chesham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-0 (7.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result

Braintree Town 27.12% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 25.85% ▼ (-0.17)
Chesham United 47.03% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.81% ▲ (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.17% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 25.83% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 49.78% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 50.22% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 28.8% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 71.2% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 4.5 16.34% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 4.5 83.66% ▼ (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Braintree Town 21.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 42.58% ▼ (-0.07)
Chesham United 36.19% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Braintree Town 36.82% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 7.92% ▼ (-0.11)
Chesham United 55.26% ▲ (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 57.04% ▼ (-0.12)
Equal 8 11.42%
Under 8 31.54% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 9 45.48% ▼ (-0.12)
Equal 9 11.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 42.96% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 10.5 34.71% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 65.29% ▲ (+0.11)

Braintree Town Goals

Over 1.5 28.5% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 71.5% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 9.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.63%
Under 3.5 97.37%

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5 75.94% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 24.06% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 44.89% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 55.11% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 20.56% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 79.44% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 8.17% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 91.83% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Braintree Town 27.11%
Draw 25.86%
Chesham United 47.02%
Braintree Town
1-0 @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 27.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 25.86%
Chesham United
0-1 @ 10.36% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 8.83% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.13% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 47.02%