Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (6.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.