National League South Gameweek 46
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
  • George Nikaj 13' goal
  • George Nikaj 80' goal
  • goal Alex Babos 45'+2'
  • goal Kai Yearn 51'

Dover Athletic vs Chesham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dover Athletic

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Maidenhead 1 - 0 Dover Athletic
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
George Nikaj

Chesham United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Chesham 0 - 2 Chelmsford City
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Jayden Bennetts

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (6.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Dover Athletic 26.79% (+0.02)
Draw 23.7%
Chesham United 49.47% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.54%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.99%
Under 1.5 21.01%
Over 2.5 56.51% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 43.49% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 34.27%
Under 3.5 65.73%
Over 4.5 20.22% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 79.78% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Dover Athletic 24.68% (+0.01)
Draw 39.09% (-0.01)
Chesham United 36.23% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Dover Athletic 40.16% (+0.07)
No Goal 5.44% (-0.01)
Chesham United 54.4% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 58.07% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 30.56%
Over 9 46.45% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 41.93% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 35.55% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 64.44% (-0.02)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 30.96% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 69.04% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.39% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 88.61% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.64% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.36% (-0.02)

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5 78.9% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 21.1% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 50.16% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 49.84% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 24.87% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 75.13% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.68% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.32% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Dover Athletic 26.79%
Draw 23.7%
Chesham United 49.46%
Dover Athletic
1-0 @ 6.74%
2-1 @ 6.43%
2-0 @ 4% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.38% (+0.01)
Total : 26.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.89%
2-2 @ 5.6% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.7%
Chesham United
1-2 @ 9.99% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.59% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.81% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.33%
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.01)
Other @ 9.42% (-0.01)
Total : 49.46%

Head to Head

National League South
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • 32' yellowcard
  • 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 61'
  • goal Luke Baptiste 70'