National League South
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT York Road
  • Ryan Bartley 50' goal

Maidenhead United vs Dover Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidenhead United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 1 - 1 Maidenhead
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Josh Umerah

Dover Athletic

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Dover Athletic 1 - 3 Farnborough
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
George Nikaj

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 67.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.82% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%) , while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result

Maidenhead United 67.53% (+1.44)
Draw 18.82% (-0.90)
Dover Athletic 13.65% (-0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.37% (-0.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.38% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 19.62% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 58.8% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 41.2% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 36.35% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 63.65% (-0.25)
Over 4.5 24.44% (+0.72)
Under 4.5 75.56% (-0.71)

First Half Winner

Maidenhead United 48.4% (+2.93)
Draw 36.65% (-1.17)
Dover Athletic 14.95% (-1.77)

Team To Score First

Maidenhead United 65.88% (-0.79)
No Goal 4.99% (+0.09)
Dover Athletic 29.13% (+0.70)

Corners

Over 8 62.88% (-5.32)
Equal 8 10.81% (+0.43)
Under 8 26.31% (+4.90)
Over 9 51.42% (-5.23)
Equal 9 11.46% (-0.10)
Under 9 37.12% (+5.32)
Over 10.5 40.29% (-4.65)
Under 10.5 59.71% (+4.65)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 1.5 63.22% (+0.87)
Under 1.5 36.78% (-0.87)
Over 2.5 37.11% (+1.36)
Under 2.5 62.89% (-1.35)
Over 3.5 18.54% (+1.22)
Under 3.5 81.46% (-1.23)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 47.18% (-1.75)
Under 0.5 52.82% (+1.75)
Over 1.5 17.41% (-1.31)
Under 1.5 82.59% (+1.30)
Over 2.5 4.72% (-0.71)
Under 2.5 95.28% (+0.72)
Over 3.5 1.04% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 98.96% (+0.30)

Score analysis

Maidenhead United 67.52%
Draw 18.83%
Dover Athletic 13.66%
Maidenhead United
2-0 @ 10.82% (+0.14)
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.15)
2-1 @ 10.07% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 8% (+0.33)
3-1 @ 6.82% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.17)
Other @ 18.49% (+1.36)
Total : 67.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.77% (-0.41)
0-0 @ 4.99% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.38)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.15)
Total : 18.83%
Dover Athletic
0-1 @ 4.11% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 3.85% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 1.99% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 1.04% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.99% (-0.16)
Total : 13.66%

Head to Head

National League South
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League Gameweek 39
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luke Baptiste 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Luke Baptiste 84' redcard
  • 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Ashmore 17'
  • yellowcard Charlee Adams 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Sam Barratt 65'
  • yellowcard Shaun Donnellan 77'
  • goal Josh Kelly 90'+2'
National League Gameweek 2
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Josh Kelly 14' goal
  • Sam Barratt 19' goal
  • yellowcard Henry Woods 38'
National League Gameweek 15
National League Gameweek 30
Feb 27, 2021 3.00pm
National League Gameweek 27
Nov 26, 2019 7.45pm
3
4
HT : 2 3
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium (Dover, Kent)
  • Ruel Sotiriou 5' goal
  • Ruel Sotiriou 14' goal
  • Jack Munns 45' yellowcard
  • Paul Rooney 66' goal
  • goal Jake Cassidy 11'
  • goal Ryan Upward 36'
  • goal Jake Cassidy 44'
  • goal Joe Ellul 53'
  • yellowcard Joe Ellul 66'
  • redcard Joe Ellul 93'