Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Slovakia had a probability of 22.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Slovakia win it was 0-1 (7.2%).