Europa League Gameweek 4
Nov 5, 2026 5.45pm
Anoeta Stadium

Real Sociedad vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Lyon

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
Anderlecht 1 - 2 Lyon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Lyon has a probability of 26.49% and a draw has a probability of 24.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Lyon win is 0-1 (6.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.03%).

Result

Real Sociedad 49.4% ▲ (+0.29)
Draw 24.07% ▲ (+0.31)
Lyon 26.49% ▼ (-0.64)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.94% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.33% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 22.67% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 54.42% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 2.5 45.58% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 3.5 32.24% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 67.76% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 4.5 19.27% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 4.5 80.73% ▼ (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Real Sociedad 38.54% ▼ (-1.18)
Draw 38.37% ▲ (+0.38)
Lyon 23.09% ▲ (+0.79)

Team To Score First

Real Sociedad 57.27% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 6.31% ▲ (+0.19)
Lyon 36.42% ▼ (-0.26)

Corners

Over 8 61.05% ▲ (+1.87)
Equal 8 10.89% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 8 28.06% ▼ (-2.23)
Over 9 49.67% ▲ (+1.35)
Equal 9 11.38% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 9 38.95% ▼ (-1.87)
Over 10.5 38.74% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 10.5 61.26% ▼ (-0.75)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 1.5 48.8% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 1.5 51.2% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 2.5 23.54% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 2.5 76.46% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 9.57% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 3.5 90.43% ▼ (-0.22)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 61.99% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 0.5 38.01% ▲ (+0.55)
Over 1.5 29.62% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 70.38% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 10.88% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 89.12% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.67% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Real Sociedad 49.39%
Draw 24.08%
Lyon 26.47%
Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 9.59% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 9.37% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 49.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 24.08%
Lyon
0-1 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.33)
1-2 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 26.47%

Head to Head

Champions League
Aug 28, 2013 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Carlos Vela 37' yellowcard
  • Carlos Vela 67' goal
  • Carlos Vela 90' goal
  • yellowcard Samuel Umtiti 77'
Champions League
Aug 20, 2013 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Milan Bisevac 39' yellowcard
  • Miguel Lopes 44' yellowcard
  • Milan Bisevac 78' redcard
  • yellowcard Inigo Martinez 9'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 18'
  • goal Haris Seferovic 52'
  • yellowcard Xabi Prieto 83'