Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 20.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.24%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 0-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.