Europa League
Dec 9, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pape Gueye 18' yellowcard
  • Arkadiusz Milik 35' goal
  • Valentin Rongier 63' yellowcard
  • Valentin Rongier 80' redcard
  • yellowcard Francois Kamano 24'
  • yellowcard Konstantin Maradishvili 26'
  • yellowcard Fyodor Smolov 56'
  • yellowcard Nayair Tiknizyan 87'

Marseille vs Lokomotiv Moscow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 25, 2021 5.45pm
Galatasaray 4 - 2 Marseille

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 25, 2021 5.45pm
Lokomotiv 0 - 3 Lazio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 20.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.24%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 0-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result

Marseille 50.46%
Draw 29.48%
Lokomotiv Moscow 20.06%

Both Teams to Score: 

35.52%

Goals

Over 2.5 30.95%
Under 2.5 69.05%
Over 3.5 13.38%
Under 3.5 86.62%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 71.82%
Under 0.5 28.18%
Over 1.5 36.13%
Under 1.5 63.87%

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5 49.46%
Under 0.5 50.55%
Over 1.5 14.97%
Under 1.5 85.03%

Score analysis

Marseille 50.46%
Draw 29.47%
Lokomotiv Moscow 20.06%
Marseille
1-0 @ 18.04%
2-0 @ 11.42%
2-1 @ 7.8%
3-0 @ 4.82%
3-1 @ 3.29%
4-0 @ 1.53%
3-2 @ 1.12%
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 50.46%
Draw
0-0 @ 14.24%
1-1 @ 12.3%
2-2 @ 2.66%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 29.47%
Lokomotiv Moscow
0-1 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 4.2%
0-2 @ 3.32%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 20.06%

Head to Head

Europa League
Sep 16, 2021 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT RZD Arena
  • Alexis Beka Beka 22' yellowcard
  • Nayair Tiknizyan 34' yellowcard
  • Nayair Tiknizyan 58' redcard
  • Faustino Anjorin 89' goal
  • yellowcard Boubacar Kamara 37'
  • goal Cengiz Under 59'
  • yellowcard Valentin Rongier 62'